Archive for the ‘Excess and Algorithms’ Category

eanda logoby @anarchyroll
2/1/2014

Part One  |  Part Two

Ex cons have a hard time getting jobs in America due to a stigma that they can’t be trusted due to past actions. Even though going through the incarceration process is supposed to bring you the other end rehabilitated with a clean slate, the reality of the situation is often quite the opposite. It also often only applies to racial minorities who commit blue collar crimes as opposed to white collar criminals who not only don’t go to jail but often barely get a metaphoric slap on the wrist.  In the spirit of the latter example, Janet Yellen is the new Fed Chief.

Janet Yellen is a much better choice than Larry Summers.  Summers is one of the forgotten architects of the 2008 economic collapse thanks to his economic policy of derivatives deregulation during the Clinton administration during the 1990s.  Summers was thought to be getting the job last year before the liberal wing of the Democratic party threatened rebellion in the midterm elections if it happened.

Ben Bernanke who Yellen is replacing, well he is to the economy what George W Bush is to national security.  9/11 happened on Bush’s watch, the 2008 collapse happened on Bernanke’s watch, that’s all you need to know.

Janet Yellen was recently featured in a TIME magazine cover story since she is about to become the most powerful person in the economic world. Why does she fit into the Quantitative Easing conversation? Two reasons. One, she helped create it in 2010. Two, she will be responsible for the tapering (fading out of) and ending of it. But do drug dealers and drug addicts often voluntarily quit their habit? Or do they continuously justify their habit to themselves?

Yellen and QE have been, are presently, and will be in the future tied together for better and for worse.  Wall Street has benefited immensely from QE. The massive bond buying program has held down interest rates (QE’s stated intent).  This has allowed the casino that is the stock market to function smoothly and at times on steroids, seeing unprecedented highs.

But these highs are drug induced. When a person does blow, crack, or meth they get an intense high for a limited amount of time.  Someone who drops acid sees walls melt and a new world of colors birth before their very eyes. But these things do not last, because they are induced by an outside substance.  The crash afterwards can be brutal, even from a simple alcohol or marijuana high. The high may feel real, but not as real as the hangover.

The American economy was high after the recovery from the dot com bubble burst. Deregulation, default swaps, and derivatives were the drug of choice of the early 2000s and the high was tremendous making houses as affordable as cars, cars as affordable as vacations, and vacations as affordable as a credit card induced weekend shopping spree. The hangover that started in 2008 was and is very real. Make no mistake we are still in recession, the recovery is false.

The recovery is false because it is also drug induced, stock market highs snorted, smoked, and shot up thanks to quantitative easing.  Asset bubbles have been created, inflation is inevitable, and any time tapering is stated or hinted at the stock market nose dives.

Tapering is occurring at about $5 to $10 billion a month, which is a good thing.  Yellen has publically stated her support for stricter economic regulation and has the backing of Elizabeth Warren.  My concern is that Yellen is a wolf in sheep’s clothing. In addition to being an architect of the current quantitative easing policy written about here, she is also proponent of trickle-down economics or Reaganomics.

The last paragraph of her TIME interview is a quote which that TIME tries to spin as “a rising tide can lift all boats” and then point out that phrase was first used by President Kennedy.  The problem is Yellen states that the purpose of QE is directly tied to trickle-down theory. The more money rich people have, the more they will spend, and that will mean more money for the poor by osmosis.  Aka when a drunk person drinks a lot, they’ll piss a lot more. QE is nothing more than a tax cut substitute in the Reaganomics equation. She claims to have main street on her mind, but her economic actions indicate she is looking out for the people at the top, hoping their crumbs become big enough to feed the poor when they trickle down after their hedge fund has enough capital freed up to buy another section of homes.

Better than Larry Summers? Yes. Does she deserve some time as the Fed Chair to prove herself? Yes. But QE is her baby. The stock market and unemployment numbers are her master.  She is going to nurture her baby and serve her master as long as they are tied together.  And all economic indicators show that QE is directly tied to stock market gains and losses as well as the unemployment numbers.  Yellen has stated as long as unemployment remains high, QE will remain.

Drug cartel kingpins tend not to be at the forefront of legalization movements. Why? Because the status quo makes them rich.  Janet Yellen helped devise QE and now she’s in charge of ending it? Next thing you know you’re going to tell me the insurance companies helped write the Affordable Health Care Act…..

eanda logoby @anarchyroll
1/28/2014

Click Here for Part One

Getting high, if it wasn’t fun, why would so many people do it? The only problem is that the high doesn’t last forever. The come down is often a crash, back to reality, damnit there’s still the law of gravity. Oh no, the stash is gone. What to do? Face life and the world as it is? Okay, but only for as long as it takes to get the next hit.

The sky was falling in the fall of 2008.  Not just millions, not just billions, but TRILLIONS of dollars evaporated from the global economy.  The wound wasn’t just opened, it was hemorrhaging blood.  What to do? Let the free market run free until it corrected itself?  Use taxpayer money to try and plug the leak? Bomb another middle eastern country?

Desperation causes people to do things that they don’t fully understand. Under intense stress and scrutiny many human beings seek a temporary escape from reality in mind or mood altering chemical substances produced naturally or artificially known to many simply as drugs.  Coffee, cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, molly, mushrooms, lsd. cocaine, heroin, meth, crack.  Those who shake their head and thumb their nose at drug users often substitute adrenaline, food, binge screen watching, and other socially accepted mind altering reality escapes in place of the illicit stuff, but it’s all the same.

The federal government and federal reserve bank of the United States of America is run by human beings. Human beings susceptible to the same highs, lows, pros, cons, disciplines, and vices as you and me.  In the midst of panic, desperation, and catastrophe a series of steps were taken to stop the economic bleeding, stabilize the markets, and attempt to spur future growth.  However, the policies were all nothing more than reality escaping substances on a meta scale.

First came TARP. Then came the auto industry bailout.  Those got the headlines and the public ire or support depending if you’re a political elephant or jackass.  However another, much less sexy, but equally if not more important was the Federal Reserve Bank’s $85 billion per month bond buying program known as Quantitative Easing.

There have been three waves of QE from 2009 through present, it is expected to end in 2015.  But if it’s expected to end clean, at a predetermined time, why the drug analogy?

The problem, is that the markets have become dependent, on the fed flooding the market with cash, now there is a new bubble, that could bring the market(s) down in flames.

So the withdrawal pains, in the form of inflation and higher interest rates, could cause a relapse into recession or worse for both the US and global economy.  QE has been like an alcoholic going to rehab and starting a two pack a day cigarette habit.  Our recovery has been artificially enhanced by QE. We haven’t quit cold turkey, we’re on synthetic drugs. It isn’t until all the meds are out of our system that we’ll know if the economy has recovered or not.

Where does QE go from here?  I’ll cover that in part 3…

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by @anarchyroll
1/23/2014

The first YouTube video I ever watched was of Ted Kennedy speaking about the importance of net neutrality.  As I learned what net neutrality was through the video, it surprised me someone of Kennedy’s age had any grasp on the concept. But then I realized that net neutrality had nothing to do with technology and everything to do with money and power.  And the Kennedy family knows a lot about money and power.

Net Neutrality means that the internet like highways, an information superhighway if you will.  Highways are built and maintained based on tolls.  Much like internet infrastructure is built, upgraded, and maintained by the monthly bill you get from your internet service provider (ISP for short).  Nothing wrong there. Food, water, shelter, heating all cost money. Net neutrality is NOT about making the internet free of charge.

Net neutrality means that all data on the internet is treated the same. Checking email is the same as binge watching Netflix. Regardless of specific content OR bandwidth usage.  Net neutrality is currently the norm for the internet you and I access from our computers, NOT from our smart phones.

Anti net neutrality advocates aka the telecomm companies and ISPs want all internet to be priced like smart phone internet access aka tiered by usage.

Pro net neutrality advocates aka anyone who isn’t rich as fuck, want to make sure the ISPs and telecoms don’t gain any additional power over the internet and its content. Why? Because absolute power corrupts absolutely.  It is feared/believed that if a tier based charging system will be a floodgate to a labyrinth of tiered charges or a slippery slope.

Like how anti drug advocates say marijuana is a slippery slope to cocaine, heroin, homelessness, prostitution, robbery, prison, and spending $800 to attend an EDM concert.  Pro net neutrality advocates believe tiered service is a slippery slope to customers being price gauged AND denied content. Not only will you be charged for certain amount of usage but you’ll be charged more to access Hulu, OR less depending on what ISP you have. If you have Comcast (who is part owner of Hulu) they might allow Hulu to load faster and cheaper on your computer but charge you more and/or completely block you from accessing Netflix, YouTube, etc.

Ask yourself, do you really believe if net neutrality is taken off the books permanently, will ISPs not charge more for service? Will they not cut deals with certain content providers? Will they not nickel and dime you, me, and every internet user in the world a little bit more every single year? Even more so than they do already that is, how much was your internet and cable bill ten years ago?  Think it’s only increased because of inflation?

The end of net neutrality is literally the end of the internet as we know it. Plain and simple.  This is a fight you can’t choose to ignore. Sign a petition, write a letter, attend a protest.  Because if you ever want to watch cute cat videos for hours at a time again, for what you’re paying now, then net neutrality is for you.

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by @anarchyroll
1/17/2014

Quantitative easing is a hard concept to comprehend and I would not classify it as easy to write about either. I wanted to write an article about the subject in August. I sat down to do my research and gather sources. When I decided to take a break, I saw that I had been reading articles, watching videos, and listening to audio clips on the subject for five hours. And I felt like I had barely scratched the surface of the subject. And I just wanted to write a blog, not a graduate school thesis.

The economic collapse of 2008 and the fallout of it, part of which being quantitative easing, are the fuel for me wanting to write economics articles in simple language.

QE (quantitative easing’s often used abbreviation) is a tool in the monetary policy tool belt of the a country’s central bank. In the case of the QE being used by the United States Federal Reserve Bank (not associated with the federal government) to ease credit flow or encourage lending by banks to small businesses and citizens, buy up government bonds with freshly printed money to keep the financial markets stabilized, and encourage large scale investors to invest in safer more boring assets than riskier/sexier assets (derivatives, credit default swaps).

So the Fed is printing money and buying government debt with it to stop the bleeding, close the wound, and aide in the rehab of the US financial sector and the global economy.

Sounds good right? The central bank of the United States is using their stroke to end a financial crisis and prevent another one…..except…Many signs and indicators are pointing to the economy becoming or already being dependent upon QE, hence the crack analogy/drug metaphor. There are also signs pointing to an asset bubble growing in the debt market. What do both of those last points mean? I’ll explain and expand in part two…

by @anarchyroll
1/14/2014

Who is Mikhail Kalashnikov? He invented the AK 47? The most notorious gun the world by a mile with the magnum 357, M16, and M4 with grenade launcher bringing up the rear. Nothing comes with the realm as the AK 47, just ask any fan of the James Bond franchise.

Kalashnikov died last month at the age of 91, a very very very very wealthy man. He had that military contractor money, aka fat stacks to the sky. He had that, all the money in the world, kind of money. He has the go to military arms dealer during the height of the cold war. So why is this the first line in a letter her wrote to a priest “”The pain in my soul is unbearable.” ???

A man who wasn’t just rich but wealthy, a hero’s hero to his country. Pain in his soul?

Because facing death makes one look back on life more independently, because we separate from our ego as we enter or complete the final chapter of our physical lives. Kalashnikov always knew deep in his soul he was making money literally from murder, death, and destruction. He knew he made the world a worse place while making his fortune.

I personally think anyone who works on Wall Street, for an oil/gas company, for a utility company, fast food company, tobacco firm, or as a lobbyist should read his quotes and wonder if they will think they same of themselves when they eventually die. People who make money polluting the earth, gauging people for money for basic elements of survival, make people sick and/or unhealthy, and influence legislation at the expense of the many for the sake of the few. What will they think of themselves, their lives, legacies when they are inevitably on their death bed?

This isn’t just CEOs, this goes all the way down to the clerks. Whether religious or not, none of us escape death, and we need not worry about St. Peter we need only about the last time we look in the mirror. We are responsible for our legacies. All the money in the world cannot buy one’s way into heaven or piece of mind and spirit when we are about to die.

Kalashnikov’s quote made me think about beginning with the end in mind, a principle of Stephen Covey. It made me think about the quest to have a comfortable living and peace of mind. It made me think about tribal society and how we’re all in this together whether we want it to be that way or not.  It made me think hedge fund managers, shady investment bankers, private military contractors will eventually think and feel what Kalashnikov thought on his death bed. What does it make you think of?